“It’s looking wet for a lot of the country,” BOM climatologist Jonathan Pollock said.
“Northern Victoria and the southern Riverina have a greater than 80 per cent chance of above average rainfall this winter.”
Mr Pollock explained why this winter was going to be wetter compared to recent years.
“This year is a much different year to the last couple of years,” he said.
“Last year, we saw a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which meant lower than average rainfalls.
“This year, the models are suggesting a negative Indian Ocean Dipole, suggesting a wetter than average winter.
“Some of the models for the Pacific Ocean are suggesting more towards La Nina, which is an eastern (Australia) wet influence as well.”
Mr Pollock said minimum temperatures were likely to be warmer, while forecasts for maximum temperatures seemed to be mixed.
“Parts like Echuca and Shepparton have neutral outcomes for day time temperatures.”
To find out how much rain is likely to fall in your town, visit: www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/rainfall/median/seasonal/0 or www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/rainfall/exceedance/150/seasonal/0
